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Prediction for CME (2021-10-17T09:36:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2021-10-17T09:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/17994/-1 CME Note: Faint halo in SOHO LASCO/C2, more clearly visible in the W in STEREO A COR2. May be associated with a filament eruption faintly visible near N30W10 in SDO AIA 304 beginning 2021-10-17T07:39Z. | There was no clear arrival signature from this CME. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-10-20T15:58Z (-9.0h, +9.0h) Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model) Prediction Method Note: ************************************************************************************** % Compiled module: EAM ************************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 553.0 km/sec The EAM version you are running is: v2 u_r = 609.447 Acceleration: -0.615014 Duration in seconds: 282153.61 Duration in days: 3.2656668 ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: -0.62 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 435.9 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 20/10/2021 Time: 15:58 UT **************************************************************************************Lead Time: 75.97 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2021-10-17T12:00Z |
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